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Hugo Predictions 2023

Edit 7/7: 2024 list posted! https://mrphilipslibrary.wordpress.com/2023/07/06/hugo-predictions-2024/ Edit 6/22/23: I posted my final predictions as a new post!...

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Far Sector by N.K. Jemisin and Jamal Campbell

Far Sector by N.K. JemisinMy rating: 3 of 5 stars3.25ish stars.An other-planet mirror of racial violence and injustice on earth (particularly in the US), told with a veil thinner than paper and a hand...

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Final Hugo Predictions 2023

Edit 7/7: 2024 list posted! https://mrphilipslibrary.wordpress.com/2023/07/06/hugo-predictions-2024/ I thought it would be a good idea to start a brand new post with my final predictions to make it...

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2023 Hugo Finalists Analysis and Commentary

Congratulations to all the finalists! Here is how my prediction model compared to the actual finalists (correct predictions bolded). Novel finalists: The Daughter of Doctor Moreau – Silvia...

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Hugo Predictions 2024

2025 predictions are up! 3/15: Final predictions posted! https://mrphilipslibrary.wordpress.com/2024/03/14/final-hugo-predictions-2024-but-first-some-final-thoughts-on-the-2023-hugos/ EDIT 2/1/24: I...

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Hugo Nominating Stats Rascality and a Brief History of Where It All Started

[EDIT 1/23/24: Instead of continuing to update this post with further developments, particularly related to Dave McCarty’s Facebook activity, I decided to assign that mess its own post. Feel free to...

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The Mess Dave McCarty Left Behind

[ETA 1/28: Dave has posted his first response in about a week on Facebook:]“For those playing along at home, get your bingo cards out because it’s time to mark the hard-to-fill space. I am...

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Final Hugo Predictions 2024 (But First Some Final Thoughts on the 2023 Hugos)

[UPDATE: Reactions and commentary on the finalists here!] It’s been a whirlwind year for the Hugo Awards. From the general feeling of unease and speculation all the way back in early 2023, to the...

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2024 Hugo Finalists Reactions and Analysis

Finalists for the 2024 Hugo Awards have been announced! Congratulations to all the finalists. A few surprises, but not many. Here’s how my prediction model stacked up against the actual finalists...

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Hugo Predictions 2025

Now that the 2024 finalists have been announced, it’s time to get working on next year. It’s obviously way too early, but it’s fun. And by the time the finalists were announced last year and I posted...

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2024 Hugo Voting Statistics Analysis and Commentary

The 2024 Hugo Awards ceremony took place yesterday, August 11th, and the list of winners is now available on the Glasgow Worldcon site. Even more exciting (for me) was the release of the voting...

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Final Hugo Predictions 2025

Finalists announced! https://seattlein2025.org/wsfs/hugo-awards/2025-hugo-award-finalists/ New reaction post here!...

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2025 Hugo Finalists Snubs, Surprises, and Stats

Finalists for the 2025 Hugo Awards have been announced! The title includes “surprises”, although there weren’t many; it just seemed like the kind of title one should post after an awards announcement....

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Hugo Predictions 2026

Sorry for taking so long to get these up. This post will serve as the ongoing prediction post for the next year until the finalists are announced in 2026. I’ll update monthly-ish. These initial...

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