Hugo Predictions 2023
Edit 7/7: 2024 list posted! https://mrphilipslibrary.wordpress.com/2023/07/06/hugo-predictions-2024/ Edit 6/22/23: I posted my final predictions as a new post!...
View ArticleFar Sector by N.K. Jemisin and Jamal Campbell
Far Sector by N.K. JemisinMy rating: 3 of 5 stars3.25ish stars.An other-planet mirror of racial violence and injustice on earth (particularly in the US), told with a veil thinner than paper and a hand...
View ArticleFinal Hugo Predictions 2023
Edit 7/7: 2024 list posted! https://mrphilipslibrary.wordpress.com/2023/07/06/hugo-predictions-2024/ I thought it would be a good idea to start a brand new post with my final predictions to make it...
View Article2023 Hugo Finalists Analysis and Commentary
Congratulations to all the finalists! Here is how my prediction model compared to the actual finalists (correct predictions bolded). Novel finalists: The Daughter of Doctor Moreau – Silvia...
View ArticleHugo Predictions 2024
2025 predictions are up! 3/15: Final predictions posted! https://mrphilipslibrary.wordpress.com/2024/03/14/final-hugo-predictions-2024-but-first-some-final-thoughts-on-the-2023-hugos/ EDIT 2/1/24: I...
View ArticleHugo Nominating Stats Rascality and a Brief History of Where It All Started
[EDIT 1/23/24: Instead of continuing to update this post with further developments, particularly related to Dave McCarty’s Facebook activity, I decided to assign that mess its own post. Feel free to...
View ArticleThe Mess Dave McCarty Left Behind
[ETA 1/28: Dave has posted his first response in about a week on Facebook:]“For those playing along at home, get your bingo cards out because it’s time to mark the hard-to-fill space. I am...
View ArticleFinal Hugo Predictions 2024 (But First Some Final Thoughts on the 2023 Hugos)
[UPDATE: Reactions and commentary on the finalists here!] It’s been a whirlwind year for the Hugo Awards. From the general feeling of unease and speculation all the way back in early 2023, to the...
View Article2024 Hugo Finalists Reactions and Analysis
Finalists for the 2024 Hugo Awards have been announced! Congratulations to all the finalists. A few surprises, but not many. Here’s how my prediction model stacked up against the actual finalists...
View ArticleHugo Predictions 2025
Now that the 2024 finalists have been announced, it’s time to get working on next year. It’s obviously way too early, but it’s fun. And by the time the finalists were announced last year and I posted...
View Article2024 Hugo Voting Statistics Analysis and Commentary
The 2024 Hugo Awards ceremony took place yesterday, August 11th, and the list of winners is now available on the Glasgow Worldcon site. Even more exciting (for me) was the release of the voting...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Final Hugo Predictions 2025
Finalists announced! https://seattlein2025.org/wsfs/hugo-awards/2025-hugo-award-finalists/ New reaction post here!...
View Article2025 Hugo Finalists Snubs, Surprises, and Stats
Finalists for the 2025 Hugo Awards have been announced! The title includes “surprises”, although there weren’t many; it just seemed like the kind of title one should post after an awards announcement....
View ArticleHugo Predictions 2026
Sorry for taking so long to get these up. This post will serve as the ongoing prediction post for the next year until the finalists are announced in 2026. I’ll update monthly-ish. These initial...
View ArticleAnalyzing the 2025 Hugo Nomination Stats
The nomination stats for the 2025 Hugo Awards have been posted by the Seattle Worldcon Hugo team after an excruciating several months wait since the winners were announced (you’re telling me it was...
View ArticleGut Check: Beyond the Numbers (A Vibes Analysis of the 2026 Best Novel Hugo...
This is intended to be a qualitative companion/counterweight to my quantitative predictions. The prediction model does its job, but Hugo nominations are also shaped by momentum, fatigue, and voter...
View Article2026 Hugo Finalists SSS (Snubs, Surprises, and Stats)
Hugo finalists were announced yesterday, which is always a party. As usual, I’ll go through my annual predictions and how they stacked up, and include some statistics that I found interesting about...
View ArticleHugo Predictions 2027
UPDATE 8/1: Things are finally up and running and should be much easier to maintain from here on out so updates should be semi-regular throughout the coming year. Feel free to comment on this post...
View Article
